The Democratic nomination is tight. It’s the tightest contest I can remember in recent times. The nearest thing we have had are the Conservative and Liberal Democrat parties scrabbling for a leader in the UK and compared to the sheer scale of the Americans, we are pathetically insignificant by comparison. Over a million dollars has been through the Obama and Clinton camps over the past year; spent on rallies, speech-writers, make-up artists, security, bribes (maybe…) as each candidate tries to win enough support to take them right to the top.
Speculation on who will win has been intense. From the news reports from several months ago I would have thought the whole thing would have been settled already. But no, the two keep slugging it out and as it stands at the moment there is absolutely nothing to separate them both.
Blue Square online betting offers odds of 1/10* for Obama winning and 11/2* for Clinton. At this point in the game one would expect one candidate to be clearly ahead by a much greater margin, but due to the up and down nature of the Democratic race, pundits and bookies alike are mercilessly altering the odds.
Before his ground-breaking oration on the difficulties of race, Obama was almost down-and-out, but since then his speech, Hilary Clinton’s ‘sniper-fire’ gaffe and all the other minutiae that influence the online betting bookies’ decision, he has moved back into the position of the favourite. The fascinating nature of this race though is that tomorrow it could be a completely different story, Obama could screw up, Hilary could win over a crucial vote and then the tables will turn.
All one can hope is that it will ultimately mean something. After all this, if it is the Republicans who win the next election, all that time, effort and money will have amounted to sod all.
*Odds taken from Blue Square Betting and are subject to change.
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